Will vs Going to (Predictions)
Intermediate (B1)en
Will vs going to (predictions)
Future Predictions: Will vs Going to
1. What Is a Prediction?
A prediction is a statement about something that will happen in the future.
Predictions can be:
- Based on evidence now – something we can see or notice that shows what will happen.
- Based on opinion, experience, or belief – no immediate evidence, just what we think.
Examples:
- Evidence-based: “Look at the clouds! It is going to rain.”
- Opinion-based: “I think people will live longer in the future.”
2. Going to for Predictions
Use going to for predictions when you can see evidence now or when something is almost certain because of the current situation.
Structure:
Subject + am/is/are + going to + base verb
Examples:
- “Be careful! That cup is going to fall.” (You can see it tipping.)
- “He is coughing a lot. He is going to get sick.” (Evidence: the cough.)
- “The team is winning. They are going to celebrate tonight.” (You can see the result.)
Tip: Focus on present evidence → future result.
3. Will for Predictions
Use will for predictions based on opinion, belief, or assumption, not on what you can see now.
Structure:
Subject + will + base verb
Examples:
- “I think it will be a great day tomorrow.” (Opinion)
- “People will travel to Mars in the future.” (Belief or general prediction)
- “I’m sure she will succeed.” (Confidence, no evidence right now)
Tip: Will is often less certain than going to and expresses personal judgment or assumptions.
4. Comparing Going to and Will
- Going to → used when we see something happening or when the outcome seems obvious.
Example: “Look at the dark clouds. It is going to rain.” - Will → used when we give a prediction based on our opinion or guess, not visible evidence.
Example: “I think it will rain tomorrow.”
5. Expressing Degrees of Certainty
- Very certain (evidence) → going to
Example: “Look at the dark clouds. It is going to rain.” - Less certain (opinion) → will
Example: “I think it will rain tomorrow.” - Intermediate probability → may / might
Example: “It may rain later.” / “It might snow next week.”
6. Common Time Words for Predictions
Both forms can be used with future time expressions:
Both forms can be used with future time expressions:
- tomorrow, next week, soon, later, in the future
Examples:
- “It is going to snow tomorrow.” (Evidence)
- “I think he will win the race next week.” (Opinion / guess)
7. Summary
- Going to → prediction based on present evidence, visible signs, or almost certain events.
- Will → prediction based on opinion, belief, or assumption, no evidence now.
- Both can be used with future time words: tomorrow, next week, soon, later.
- Tip: Think about whether the prediction is based on what you see now or what you think.
Related Vocabulary
Expand your vocabulary with words related to this grammar topic